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Nvidia's AI Expansion Could Push Revenue To $300 Billion By 2026, Analyst Says

2025-08-18 15:22:17 英文原文

作者:Anusuya Lahiri Mon, Aug 18, 2025, 11:22 PM 3 min read

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Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to beat Wall Street’s expectations once again, driven by surging demand for AI and its new Blackwell architecture.

With a strong revenue forecast of $48 billion for the second quarter and expectations for continued growth through 2026, the company’s Data Center segment remains the primary growth engine, positioning Nvidia for sustained leadership in AI infrastructure.

Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse has upped his price forecast for Nvidia to $240, citing the company’s Blackwell-driven Data Center expansion and the rapid acceleration of AI investments.

Also Read: Nvidia Could Add Billions From China Sales If H20 GPUs Get Green Light From US: Analyst

Muse maintains his Overweight rating on the stock, noting that Nvidia’s revenue is likely to surpass consensus estimates through 2026.

Muse pointed to surging demand for artificial intelligence computing and the company’s new Blackwell architecture ramp.

The analyst expects Nvidia to deliver a strong beat again and raise when it reports fiscal second-quarter results on August 27. He projects revenue of $48 billion and EPS of $1.06, compared with consensus expectations of $45.8 billion and $1.00 per share.

Data Center sales remain the core driver, with Muse forecasting $42.9 billion from that segment alone. Looking ahead to the October quarter, he estimates $55 billion in revenue and $1.25 in EPS, again ahead of consensus at $52.6 billion and $1.18, with Data Center contributing about $49.9 billion.

For the long term, Muse models Nvidia’s Data Center revenue at $200 billion in calendar 2025 and $300 billion in calendar 2026, well above current Street forecasts of $181 billion and $235 billion, respectively.

He projects earnings power of $4.85 per share in calendar 2025 and $8.00 in calendar 2026, compared with consensus at $4.37 and $5.89.

He highlighted accelerating hyperscaler capital expenditures, expected to grow 57% in calendar 2025 and another 20% in calendar 2026, a $1.5 trillion global sovereign AI investment pipeline, and increasing enterprise adoption as the key drivers of this expansion.

Muse acknowledged ongoing headwinds in China due to H20 export restrictions and tariffs, but argued that most sell-side models already exclude that revenue.

Any unexpected shipments to the region could therefore provide upside to current estimates. He also noted that Nvidia’s gross margins should reach the mid-70% range by late calendar 2025, supported by the mix shift to Blackwell products and ongoing efficiency gains.

The analyst underscored that Nvidia’s roadmap beyond Blackwell, including its Rubin platform, further strengthens visibility into calendar 2026 and positions the company for sustained leadership in AI infrastructure.


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摘要

Nvidia is expected to exceed Wall Street expectations due to high demand for AI and its new Blackwell architecture, forecasting $48 billion revenue for Q2 with continued growth through 2026. Analyst C.J. Muse raised Nvidia's price target to $240, citing the Data Center segment's expansion and rapid AI investment acceleration. He projects strong financial performance in fiscal Q2 (ending August) and expects sustained leadership in AI infrastructure, with long-term revenue forecasts at $200 billion for 2025 and $300 billion for 2026. Muse also highlighted growing hyperscaler capital expenditures and enterprise adoption as key drivers. Despite challenges in China due to export restrictions, any unexpected shipments could provide upside to estimates.