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AI-powered weather forecasts could miss extreme storms

2025-05-27 20:00:13 英文原文

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Weather forecasts based on AI are faster and sometimes more accurate than traditional ones, but they may miss rare and unprecedented weather events – which are becoming more common as the climate changes

By James Dinneen

Weather forecasts can miss rare events like the extreme rainfall caused by 2017’s Hurricane Harvey

NASA/NOAA GOES Project/Getty Images

Training AI models on historical weather patterns can turn them into accurate forecasters – but they may not be able to predict extreme events that don’t occur in their training data. This could be a growing issue as climate change drives more unprecedented weather.

“These models are good, but the question we have been asking is about events that are so rare and strong that these models…

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