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The god in the machine

2025-06-23 22:01:22 英文原文

作者:By The Week US published 23 June 2025

A brain with codes in the background

"Relying on a superintelligence that can out-reason you, out-plan you, out-negotiate you, and do it all more creatively than you ever could—that will surely hit at the essence of what it means to be human,"

(Image credit: Getty Images)

Who's trying to build superintelligent AI?

Companies such as Google, OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic have collectively dedicated more than $1 trillion to developing artificial general intelligence (AGI). That's shorthand for a future technology that can do almost anything a human can: drive, talk, learn, solve problems, create, and so on. For now, most AI models excel at one or two tasks, such as generating text and images, or solving mathematical equations. But the ability of these systems to take in and process data has expanded at lightning speed, with the number of parameters inside models—connections analogous to synapses in the brain—going from millions to billions to more than a trillion in a few years. Many industry experts believe it's only a matter of time before a system reaches AGI, or even artificial super intelligence (ASI): a form of AI that surpasses human intelligence in every way and can make its own decisions. Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind, argues the arrival of AGI will usher in "an era of maximum human flourishing" in which disease and poverty will be vanquished and space will be colonized. Other experts are less optimistic: Daniel Kokotajlo, a former OpenAI researcher who refused to sign a non-disparagement agreement when he resigned from the company in April, foresees "something like a 70% chance" that AI will catastrophically harm—or even wipe out—humanity.

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摘要

The article discusses the development of superintelligent AI by companies like Google, OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic, which have invested over $1 trillion in AGI. While current AI models excel at specific tasks, their capability to process data has rapidly expanded, with model parameters increasing from millions to trillions within a few years. Industry experts predict the advent of AGI or even ASI soon, with some envisioning positive outcomes such as solving global issues and colonizing space, while others foresee potential catastrophic risks to humanity.

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