The AI Rally May Be The New Dot-Com Bubble (SP500)

2025-09-23 16:32:30 英文原文

Summary

  • The US stock market, driven by AI giants like Nvidia (NVDA), is showing signs of extreme overvaluation reminiscent of past asset bubbles.
  • Valuation metrics such as Buffett’s indicator and the Shiller P/E ratio are at historic highs, fueled by the dominance of the 'Magnificent 7' tech stocks.
  • Historical parallels to Tulipmania, the South Sea bubble, and the dot-com crash suggest the current AI-driven rally could end in a significant correction.
  • Investors should be cautious, as Fed liquidity may eventually end despite the current easing cycle; holding cash could provide better opportunities after a potential market downturn.
Business on Wall Street in Manhattan

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It has been a few years already since AI technologies have become part of our daily lives. ChatGPT, created by OpenAI, has been one of the first products to become available as an AI program processing and analyzing

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摘要

The US stock market, led by AI companies like Nvidia, exhibits extreme overvaluation akin to historical asset bubbles. Valuation metrics indicate historic highs due to the dominance of seven major tech stocks. Historical parallels warn of a potential significant correction. Investors are advised to be cautious as Federal Reserve liquidity may eventually cease despite current easing, suggesting holding cash might offer better opportunities post-downturn.