U.S. Economy: AI Mania, Fed Policy, And Q4 Market Risks (SPX)
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Summary
- AI is a cross-sector megatrend, driving growth in tech, construction, and energy, with data center spending now surpassing new office construction.
- Intel receives a strategic $5B investment from Nvidia and US government support, aiming to revitalize its foundry business and reduce reliance on Asian foundries.
- Despite strong economic data and a resilient market, high valuations and seasonal volatility warrant a diversified portfolio with defensive stocks and ample liquidity.
- A balanced 25% equities, 25% bonds, 25% cash, and 25% gold portfolio is outperforming the traditional 60/40 split, offering better protection in today's environment.
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Here are some figures:
- AI-related stocks contributed to 75% of the S&P 500's returns,
- 80% of earnings growth, and
- 90% of capital expenditure growth since the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022.
But
Analystâs Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SPX, NDX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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