OC

Knowledge OS
鹦鹉螺口语
Why AI (Probably) Won’t Take Your Job
2026-03-03 02:20:58 · 英文原文

Why AI (Probably) Won’t Take Your Job

作者:Charles Fain Lehman

If you’re one of the 90 million Americans who works a white-collar job, then in the past few months you’ve received a clear message: You’re probably going to get screwed. AI will take half of all white-collar jobs in the next four years, according to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei; expect 20 percent unemployment. “Nothing that can be done on a computer is safe in the medium term,” wrote AI investor Matt Shumer in a viral post. Last week week a viral scenario from Citrini Research projected a “human intelligence displacement spiral” caused by AI within two years.

But if doom is coming, no one’s told the bosses. A recent survey of 6,000 chief executives across four countries found that they expect AI to cut employment by just 0.7 percent over the next three years. Another recent analysis of over 12,000 European firms found that so far, AI adoption increases workers’ productivity without having any impact on employment. Research from late last year, meanwhile, found that more AI-exposed industries experienced either the same or more employment than less-exposed industries—not job losses.

Start Your Free Trial to Unlock This Story

Support our journalism and unlock all of our investigative stories and provocative commentary about the world as it actually is. Get your first 7 days free.

Annual

$8.33/month

Billed as $100 yearly

Monthly

$10/month

Billed as $10 monthly

Already have an account?

Sign In

关于《Why AI (Probably) Won’t Take Your Job》的评论

暂无评论

发表评论

摘要

AI is predicted to significantly impact white-collar jobs in the US, with forecasts of up to half of these positions being at risk over the next four years. However, recent surveys and analyses show mixed results regarding AI's actual effect on employment, suggesting that job displacement may not be as severe as initially feared. While some experts predict high unemployment rates due to AI adoption, others find no significant impact on employment levels in industries adopting AI technologies.